Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001060 0.001205 0.001350 0.001507 0.001670 0.001834 0.002012
2025-11-16 0.000827 0.001035 0.001250 0.001488 0.001742 0.002003 0.002290
2025-11-23 0.000650 0.000902 0.001173 0.001479 0.001812 0.002160 0.002547
2025-11-30 0.000546 0.000837 0.001159 0.001531 0.001941 0.002375 0.002863
2025-12-07 0.000423 0.000737 0.001096 0.001521 0.001998 0.002508 0.003086
2025-12-14 0.000306 0.000629 0.001016 0.001485 0.002019 0.002597 0.003259
2025-12-21 0.000242 0.000578 0.000997 0.001514 0.002110 0.002760 0.003508
2025-12-28 0.000163 0.000495 0.000930 0.001483 0.002129 0.002840 0.003663
2026-01-04 0.000112 0.000441 0.000897 0.001487 0.002186 0.002959 0.003859
2026-01-11 0.000065 0.000382 0.000851 0.001472 0.002216 0.003047 0.004019
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000331 0.000810 0.001461 0.002250 0.003136 0.004178
2026-01-25 0.000002 0.000255 0.000729 0.001394 0.002215 0.003144 0.004244
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000196 0.000676 0.001377 0.002257 0.003263 0.004459
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000147 0.000632 0.001371 0.002313 0.003398 0.004696
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000107 0.000594 0.001370 0.002373 0.003539 0.004940
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000092 0.000598 0.001425 0.002503 0.003761 0.005275
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000059 0.000559 0.001419 0.002556 0.003891 0.005505
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000027 0.000504 0.001385 0.002572 0.003977 0.005683
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000016 0.000494 0.001415 0.002666 0.004154 0.005965
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000001 0.000447 0.001385 0.002683 0.004238 0.006139
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.000423 0.001390 0.002743 0.004372 0.006368
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000389 0.001375 0.002776 0.004472 0.006558
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000360 0.001365 0.002814 0.004577 0.006751